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chimera bench-compare

Report the honest A/B delta (+95% CI) between two benchmark result files. Feed it the pass/fail from two runs on the SAME task IDs (e.g. a terminal-bench free-model baseline vs the same model driven by Chimera). Prints each arm's Wilson-bounded pass rate, the delta, its Newcombe CI, and whether the difference is significant. This is the number that proves (or doesn't) that the scaffolding lifts a weak model. With --paired, the two lists are treated as *aligned pairs* (each index is one task replayed from an identical forked checkpoint), and the tighter McNemar/Wilson interval is reported — the payoff of running both arms from the same forked state.

Arguments

  • BASELINEstrrequired

    JSON file of the baseline arm's per-task pass/fail (list of bools, or {task: bool}).

  • TREATMENTstrrequired

    JSON file of the treatment arm's per-task pass/fail.

Options

  • --baseline-namestrdefault: 'baseline'

    Label for the baseline arm.

  • --treatment-namestrdefault: 'chimera'

    Label for the treatment arm.

  • --pairedboolean

    Paired (McNemar) test: item i in both files is the SAME task replayed from an identical forked state — a tighter CI.